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Red208
940867.0
512425.6
119770.8
Blue88
375929.5
29439.6
70245.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1731135010015020025020888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+84Teleop
+94Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave9
9Coral scored#1
47Coral points7
47Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +53
23Coral scored#14
83Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
12Processor points12
24Net points4
36Algae points16
119Total teleop66
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#3
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +120
26Foul points0
208Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.7
69.269.9
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
red by 25.5
702
#13
45.30.6
45.845.2
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
Second
67.00.5
65.866.3
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
red by 27.4
294
#5
39.60.8
40.239.5
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
Third
5124
#24
25.60.6
24.124.8
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 3.9
3759
#32
29.50.6
30.029.4
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2