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Red124
96816.7
432245.5
784041.2
Blue90
447027.8
59931.6
98028.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159240608010014016012490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
74Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points2
124Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#10
45.50.5
46.146.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
red by 13.8
599
#9
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Second
41.20.5
41.842.3
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
red by 12.7
980
#17
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Third
968
#26
16.70.5
17.317.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 11.1
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8