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Red189
167864.3
325727.3
60464.3
Blue110
592410.8
448163.9
58161.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168144100120160180200220240189110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+67Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +64
26Coral scored#13
93Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
123Total teleop59
Reef
10L4#9
12L3#4
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
189Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
64.30.8
63.564.3
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
red by 0.4
63.90.6
64.563.9
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
Second
64.30.8
63.564.3
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
red by 3.2
581
#2
61.10.6
61.761.1
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Third
3257
#28
27.30.8
26.527.3
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
red by 16.4
5924
#26
10.80.6
11.510.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7