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Red203
167864.3
325727.3
60464.3
Blue159
592410.8
448163.9
58161.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165143100120180200220203159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
27Coral scored#22
98Coral points79
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
134Total teleop103
Reef
12L4#12
6L3#7
11L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
203Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
64.31.0
62.563.5
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
red by 0.4
63.90.5
64.064.5
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
Second
64.31.0
62.463.5
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
red by 3.2
581
#2
61.10.5
61.261.7
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Third
3257
#28
27.31.0
25.526.5
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
red by 16.4
5924
#26
10.80.5
11.011.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7