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Red178
592410.8
448163.9
58161.1
Blue82
203520.9
247337.6
167138.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148995020017882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+72Teleop
+84Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave9
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
34Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +57
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points29
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
100Total teleop43
Reef
10L4#2
8L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +96
18Foul points6
178Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.6
63.464.0
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
red by 25.4
1671
#10
38.50.5
39.038.5
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
581
#2
61.10.6
60.661.2
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
red by 23.5
37.60.5
38.137.6
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Third
5924
#26
10.80.6
10.411.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 10.0
2035
#23
20.90.5
21.420.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7