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Red102
696219.7
947034.5
304542.9
Blue120
203520.9
247337.6
167138.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010790100120130140102120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+30
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
61Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +18
18Foul points6
102Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.5
43.342.9
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
red by 4.4
1671
#10
38.50.2
38.839.0
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
9470
#15
34.50.5
35.034.5
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
blue by 3.1
37.60.2
37.838.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Third
6962
#32
19.70.5
20.119.7
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
blue by 1.2
2035
#23
20.90.2
21.121.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7