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Red188
167864.3
325727.3
60464.3
Blue173
592410.8
448163.9
58161.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16513980100120180200220188173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#27
73Coral points96
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
115Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#10
10L3#7
7L2#8
3L1 · trough#9
37Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +15
18Foul points0
188Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
64.30.5
62.062.5
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
red by 0.4
63.90.9
62.563.4
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
Second
64.30.5
62.062.4
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
red by 3.2
581
#2
61.10.9
59.760.6
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Third
3257
#28
27.30.5
25.025.5
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
red by 16.4
5924
#26
10.80.9
9.510.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7