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Red122
696219.7
947034.5
304542.9
Blue70
11520.2
510426.9
804832.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11285406010012014016018012270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+58Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +54
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
93Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#4
9L3#2
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
122Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.5
42.943.3
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
red by 10.9
8048
#29
32.00.3
32.332.0
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
Second
9470
#15
34.50.5
34.535.0
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
red by 7.7
5104
#12
26.90.3
27.126.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Third
6962
#32
19.70.5
19.620.1
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
blue by 0.5
115
#31
20.20.3
20.520.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6