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Red69
541940.4
548017.7
281340.9
Blue104
203520.9
247337.6
167138.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112106608010012014016069104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+47
Endgame+39
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +30
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
42Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +35
4Foul points0
69Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.8
41.740.9
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
red by 2.4
1671
#10
38.50.1
38.638.8
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
40.40.8
41.240.4
Auto5.9
Teleop28.2
End6.3
red by 2.8
37.60.1
37.737.8
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Third
5480
#24
17.70.8
18.517.7
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 3.2
2035
#23
20.90.1
21.021.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7