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Red95
207320.1
203520.9
804832.0
Blue108
1033915.7
167138.5
304542.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8284406010012095108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +22
12Coral scored#20
42Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
70Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
12Foul points0
95Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#29
32.00.8
26.827.6
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
blue by 10.9
42.93.8
31.735.5
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
Second
2035
#23
20.90.8
16.817.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
blue by 17.7
1671
#10
38.53.8
24.228.1
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Third
2073
#22
20.10.8
30.030.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 4.4
15.73.8
14.618.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed