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Red110
19215.9
448163.9
25310.7
Blue130
58161.1
510426.9
958427.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951096080120140160110130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
72Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#4
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points6
110Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.6
41.643.2
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
red by 2.8
581
#2
61.12.2
42.144.3
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Second
192
#19
15.91.6
20.722.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
blue by 11.2
27.12.2
25.427.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
Third
253
#34
10.71.6
20.121.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 16.1
5104
#12
26.92.2
25.928.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned