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Red58
247337.6
741323.8
576015.2
Blue116
203520.9
911421.0
448163.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74932040608010012014058116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+50
Endgame+42
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +39
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
27Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
8Foul points24
58Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.62.3
29.627.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
blue by 26.3
63.91.0
43.244.2
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
Second
7413
#20
23.82.3
19.216.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
red by 2.8
9114
#14
21.01.0
19.320.4
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Third
5760
#27
15.22.3
18.816.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 5.7
2035
#23
20.91.0
17.518.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned