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Red30
85216.0
1033915.7
650615.7
Blue74
958427.1
97229.5
19215.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51890204060801001201403074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
6Processor points0
0Net points12
6Algae points12
16Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
30Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#30
16.02.6
18.315.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End0.3
blue by 13.5
972
#16
29.50.7
27.126.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
Second
15.72.6
18.415.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
blue by 11.4
27.10.7
27.526.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
Third
6506
#21
15.72.6
14.211.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.3
blue by 0.2
192
#19
15.90.7
22.321.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned