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Red39
527415.6
325727.3
548017.7
Blue35
947034.5
207320.1
68848.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5985020401001203935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#4
23Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
29Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
39Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3257
#28
27.32.3
22.420.2
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
blue by 7.2
9470
#15
34.54.3
21.116.8
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
Second
5480
#24
17.72.3
18.015.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 2.4
2073
#22
20.14.3
30.726.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
5274
#18
15.62.3
15.813.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End-0.5
red by 7.4
6884
#35
8.24.3
19.214.9
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed