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Red130
304542.9
58161.1
777712.7
Blue112
576015.2
11520.2
167864.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021186080140160130112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +33
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
93Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#3
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points12
130Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#2
61.14.3
44.348.5
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
blue by 3.2
64.30.5
59.458.9
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
Second
42.94.3
35.539.8
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
red by 22.7
115
#31
20.20.5
28.628.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
7777
#25
12.74.3
11.916.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 2.5
5760
#27
15.20.5
16.516.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned