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Red142
60464.3
58161.1
203520.9
Blue62
510426.9
325727.3
97229.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132775010015020014262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+96Teleop
+74Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +65
20Coral scored#5
71Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
89Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#3
7L3#1
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
12Foul points6
142Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
64.31.5
49.050.5
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
red by 34.9
972
#16
29.52.1
26.424.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
Second
581
#2
61.11.5
48.550.1
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
red by 33.8
3257
#28
27.32.1
20.218.1
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
Third
2035
#23
20.91.5
18.620.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
blue by 6.0
5104
#12
26.92.1
28.126.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned