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Red58
247337.6
777712.7
68848.2
Blue94
548017.7
1033915.7
947034.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040801001201405894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+40
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#15
31Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
43Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points6
58Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.3
27.326.0
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
red by 3.1
9470
#15
34.53.7
16.820.6
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
Second
7777
#25
12.71.3
16.114.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 5.0
5480
#24
17.73.7
15.819.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Third
6884
#35
8.21.3
14.913.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 7.5
15.73.7
15.819.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned