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Red41
397017.0
527415.6
958427.1
Blue53
304542.9
19215.9
592410.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748340601001204153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +5
6Coral scored#5
22Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
26Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points8
41Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.13.2
26.923.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
blue by 15.8
42.93.4
39.836.4
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
Second
3970
#33
17.03.2
26.523.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.6
End1.0
red by 1.1
192
#19
15.93.4
21.618.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Third
5274
#18
15.63.2
13.610.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End-0.5
red by 4.7
5924
#26
10.83.4
10.87.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed