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Red94
448163.9
650615.7
741323.8
Blue137
167138.5
60464.3
85216.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211320406010012014016018094137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +44
14Coral scored#25
52Coral points90
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
70Total teleop114
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#9
4L2#8
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points0
94Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.4
44.245.6
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
blue by 0.4
604
#3
64.33.9
50.554.4
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
Second
7413
#20
23.81.4
19.721.1
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
blue by 14.7
1671
#10
38.53.9
30.834.7
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Third
6506
#21
15.71.4
11.613.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.3
blue by 0.3
852
#30
16.03.9
15.719.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned