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Red61
11520.2
696219.7
25310.7
Blue141
510426.9
145821.0
167864.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5912105010015061141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+58
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +38
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
53Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
61Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#31
20.21.3
28.126.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
blue by 44.1
64.32.7
58.961.6
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
Second
6962
#32
19.71.3
14.212.9
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
blue by 7.2
5104
#12
26.92.7
26.028.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Third
253
#34
10.71.3
19.418.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 10.3
1458
#13
21.02.7
20.723.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned