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Red60
804832.0
318928.5
576015.2
Blue108
911421.0
541940.4
281340.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610020406012014016060108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+30
Endgame+42
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
44Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points6
60Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#29
32.01.4
25.123.7
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
blue by 8.9
40.91.4
36.237.6
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
Second
3189
#11
28.51.4
31.229.8
Auto6.2
Teleop19.8
End2.6
blue by 11.8
40.41.4
35.036.4
Auto5.9
Teleop28.2
End6.3
Third
5760
#27
15.21.4
16.014.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 5.8
9114
#14
21.01.4
18.119.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned