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Red99
541940.4
958427.1
203520.9
Blue95
11520.2
804832.0
60464.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79119501001509995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
68Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
99Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.5
34.035.6
Auto5.9
Teleop28.2
End6.3
blue by 24.0
604
#3
64.30.6
43.342.7
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
Second
27.11.5
19.821.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
blue by 4.9
8048
#29
32.00.6
27.226.6
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
Third
2035
#23
20.91.5
19.220.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
red by 0.7
115
#31
20.20.6
30.329.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed