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Red85
947034.5
510426.9
25310.7
Blue149
548017.7
281340.9
58161.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74902040608010012014085149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+42
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +31
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
65Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#4
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
85Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#15
34.50.7
19.620.4
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
blue by 26.6
581
#2
61.16.3
35.541.8
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Second
5104
#12
26.90.7
25.326.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
blue by 14.1
40.96.3
22.729.0
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
Third
253
#34
10.70.7
21.322.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 6.9
5480
#24
17.76.3
19.625.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned