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Red142
777712.7
167864.3
167138.5
Blue73
958427.1
25310.7
548017.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1346405010015020014273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+65Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
90Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
6Foul points6
142Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.2
61.662.8
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
red by 37.2
27.10.9
23.722.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
Second
1671
#10
38.51.2
34.735.9
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
red by 20.9
5480
#24
17.70.9
19.518.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Third
7777
#25
12.71.2
14.916.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
red by 2.0
253
#34
10.70.9
18.117.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed