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Red64
576015.2
592410.8
281340.9
Blue122
58161.1
19215.9
325727.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61100020408012014064122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+56
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
10Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +53
7Coral scored#13
24Coral points45
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
6Processor points18
4Net points24
10Algae points42
34Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
6Foul points6
64Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.2
37.637.4
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
blue by 20.1
581
#2
61.13.3
50.153.3
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Second
5760
#27
15.20.2
14.714.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 12.1
3257
#28
27.33.3
18.121.4
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
Third
5924
#26
10.80.2
7.47.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 5.1
192
#19
15.93.3
18.321.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned