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Red102
741323.8
947034.5
527415.6
Blue112
145821.0
804832.0
541940.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5196020406080120140102112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
16Coral scored#21
57Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
77Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#8
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
102Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#15
34.54.2
20.624.8
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
blue by 5.8
40.42.0
36.438.4
Auto5.9
Teleop28.2
End6.3
Second
7413
#20
23.84.2
21.125.3
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
blue by 8.2
8048
#29
32.02.0
23.725.7
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
Third
5274
#18
15.64.2
10.414.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End-0.5
blue by 5.4
1458
#13
21.02.0
23.425.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed