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Red114
247337.6
318928.5
97229.5
Blue51
510426.9
207320.1
11520.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869205015011451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
63Total teleop28
Reef
8L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
8Foul points0
114Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.62.9
26.028.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
red by 10.7
5104
#12
26.93.3
28.725.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Second
972
#16
29.52.9
24.427.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
red by 9.3
115
#31
20.23.3
26.723.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
3189
#11
28.52.9
29.832.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.8
End2.6
red by 8.5
2073
#22
20.13.3
25.422.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned