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Red85
804832.0
592410.8
741323.8
Blue59
25310.7
203520.9
145821.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637330405080901008559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
74Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
85Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#29
32.01.6
25.727.4
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
red by 11.0
1458
#13
21.01.4
25.424.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Second
7413
#20
23.81.6
25.326.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
red by 2.9
2035
#23
20.91.4
18.817.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Third
5924
#26
10.81.6
7.28.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
red by 0.1
253
#34
10.71.4
17.215.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed