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Red140
541940.4
947034.5
167864.3
Blue46
958427.1
576015.2
85216.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15050010020014046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+92Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +74
24Coral scored#6
86Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
104Total teleop30
Reef
10L4#2
7L3#2
6L2#2
7L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
140Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.3
62.863.2
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
red by 37.2
27.12.4
22.820.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
Second
40.40.3
38.438.8
Auto5.9
Teleop28.2
End6.3
red by 24.4
852
#30
16.02.4
18.516.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Third
9470
#15
34.50.3
24.825.1
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
red by 19.3
5760
#27
15.22.4
14.512.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed