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Red88
68848.2
510426.9
304542.9
Blue100
281340.9
397017.0
247337.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8396406012014088100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points1
27Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +37
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
29Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
18Foul points0
88Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.7
37.436.8
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
red by 2.0
40.91.3
37.438.7
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
Second
5104
#12
26.90.7
25.424.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
blue by 10.7
37.61.3
28.930.1
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Third
6884
#35
8.20.7
13.112.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 8.8
3970
#33
17.01.3
22.023.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned