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Red104
325727.3
11520.2
318928.5
Blue125
548017.7
911421.0
60464.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821054060120140160104125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +13
16Coral scored#17
57Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
77Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
104Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3189
#11
28.51.7
32.734.4
Auto6.2
Teleop19.8
End2.6
blue by 35.8
604
#3
64.31.6
53.855.5
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
Second
3257
#28
27.31.7
21.423.1
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
red by 6.3
9114
#14
21.01.6
20.622.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Third
115
#31
20.21.7
23.425.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
red by 2.5
5480
#24
17.71.6
18.620.2
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed