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Red125
696219.7
58161.1
650615.7
Blue60
19215.9
777712.7
203520.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915920408010012014012560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
74Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
12Foul points0
125Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#2
61.13.1
53.356.5
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
red by 40.2
2035
#23
20.90.0
17.417.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
Second
6962
#32
19.73.1
13.917.0
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
red by 3.8
192
#19
15.90.0
21.621.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Third
6506
#21
15.73.1
11.714.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.3
red by 3.0
7777
#25
12.70.0
16.116.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed