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Red154
947034.5
281340.9
448163.9
Blue48
304542.9
25310.7
97229.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12982406010012014016018015448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+106Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points23
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +88
21Coral scored#3
75Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
97Total teleop9
Reef
11L4#3
6L3#2
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points0
154Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.94.2
47.551.6
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
red by 21.0
42.93.5
36.833.3
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
Second
40.94.2
38.742.9
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
red by 11.5
972
#16
29.53.5
26.022.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
Third
9470
#15
34.54.2
25.129.3
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
red by 23.8
253
#34
10.73.5
15.712.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned