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Red112
58161.1
1033915.7
911421.0
Blue58
777712.7
741323.8
207320.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113692040608010014016011258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
73Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
2Foul points6
112Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#2
61.10.3
56.556.8
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
red by 37.3
7413
#20
23.82.5
26.924.4
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Second
9114
#14
21.00.3
22.222.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 0.9
2073
#22
20.12.5
20.818.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
15.70.3
17.718.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
red by 3.0
7777
#25
12.72.5
16.013.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned