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Red90
958427.1
247337.6
11520.2
Blue69
804832.0
548017.7
19215.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87772040601001209069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+41Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points24
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
52Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points20
90Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.4
31.532.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
red by 5.6
8048
#29
32.01.5
27.425.8
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
Second
27.11.4
20.221.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
red by 9.4
5480
#24
17.71.5
21.520.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Third
115
#31
20.21.4
23.324.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
red by 4.3
192
#19
15.91.5
16.214.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed