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Red56
592410.8
167138.5
696219.7
Blue34
85216.0
911421.0
510426.9
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70760501001502005634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
32Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
14Foul points0
56Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
38.51.9
37.035.1
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
red by 11.7
5104
#12
26.93.0
26.023.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
Second
6962
#32
19.71.9
15.813.9
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
blue by 1.3
9114
#14
21.03.0
22.519.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Third
5924
#26
10.81.9
8.76.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 5.1
852
#30
16.03.0
16.213.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed