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Red135
97229.5
576015.2
58161.1
Blue34
1033915.7
397017.0
145821.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105712040608012014016013534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+69Teleop
+91Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +61
11Coral scored#2
38Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#0
6Processor points0
24Net points0
30Algae points0
68Total teleop7
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#4
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
18Foul points8
135Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#2
61.12.2
56.859.0
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
red by 40.1
1458
#13
21.03.9
22.218.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Second
972
#16
29.52.2
22.524.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
red by 12.4
3970
#33
17.03.9
26.122.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.6
End1.0
Third
5760
#27
15.22.2
14.817.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 0.5
15.73.9
18.014.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed