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Red124
203520.9
741323.8
304542.9
Blue65
318928.5
650615.7
548017.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977820406012014016012465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
18Coral scored#10
66Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
94Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
124Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.92.7
37.940.6
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
red by 14.4
3189
#11
28.51.3
29.027.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Second
7413
#20
23.82.9
24.427.3
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
red by 6.2
5480
#24
17.71.2
20.018.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
Third
2035
#23
20.92.9
17.420.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
red by 5.2
6506
#21
15.71.2
15.914.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed