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Red140
60464.3
958427.1
207320.1
Blue72
281340.9
25310.7
777712.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147202040608010014016014072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points8
29Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +44
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
85Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
2Foul points0
140Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
64.33.9
58.662.4
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
red by 23.4
40.90.7
41.742.5
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
Second
27.13.9
21.725.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
red by 14.4
7777
#25
12.70.7
13.614.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Third
2073
#22
20.13.9
14.318.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 9.4
253
#34
10.70.7
8.29.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned