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Red140
145821.0
60464.3
19215.9
Blue105
207320.1
247337.6
696219.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11268050100150140105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave3
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
92Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#9
9L3#6
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
140Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
64.31.8
62.464.3
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
red by 26.7
37.62.4
32.935.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Second
1458
#13
21.02.0
18.320.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0
red by 0.9
2073
#22
20.12.2
18.220.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
192
#19
15.91.8
13.515.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
blue by 3.8
6962
#32
19.72.2
15.918.0
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed