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Red112
203520.9
510426.9
167138.5
Blue22
68848.2
527415.6
576015.2
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9444020608012014016011222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+50Teleop
+76Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points3
22Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
50Total teleop16
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#5
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
14Foul points0
112Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
38.51.7
35.136.8
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
red by 22.9
5274
#18
15.61.9
16.314.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End-0.5
Second
5104
#12
26.91.7
23.124.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
red by 11.7
5760
#27
15.21.9
17.015.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Third
2035
#23
20.91.7
20.322.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
red by 12.7
6884
#35
8.21.9
10.48.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed