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Red141
804832.0
911421.0
947034.5
Blue114
318928.5
85216.0
58161.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83114204060100140160180141114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+15Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +22
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
97Total teleop75
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
12Foul points0
141Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#15
34.54.1
31.836.0
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
blue by 26.6
581
#2
61.10.7
59.059.7
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
Second
8048
#29
32.04.1
25.830.0
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
red by 3.5
3189
#11DQ
28.50.7
27.728.4
Auto6.2
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Third
9114
#14
21.04.1
19.623.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 5.1
852
#30
16.00.7
13.213.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned