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Red64
19215.9
11520.2
397017.0
Blue151
167864.3
1033915.7
741323.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6612505010015020064151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+45
Endgame+59
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
54Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
2Foul points30
64Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#31
20.21.1
24.823.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
blue by 44.1
64.30.2
62.262.4
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
Second
3970
#33
17.01.1
22.221.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.6
End1.0
blue by 6.8
7413
#20
23.80.2
27.327.5
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Third
192
#19
15.91.1
14.613.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
red by 0.2
15.70.2
14.114.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned