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Red50
576015.2
145821.0
911421.0
Blue113
25310.7
650615.7
167138.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686730405060809010011050113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+63
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
30Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points42
50Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9114
#14
21.00.7
23.723.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End1.9
blue by 17.5
1671
#10
38.50.9
36.837.7
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
1458
#13
21.00.7
20.319.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0
red by 5.3
6506
#21
15.70.9
14.715.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End2.3
Third
5760
#27
15.20.7
15.114.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
red by 4.5
253
#34
10.70.9
9.09.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned