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Red180
448163.9
167864.3
958427.1
Blue117
325727.3
247337.6
804832.0
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1718750100150200250180117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+61Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave9
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
23Coral scored#18
84Coral points66
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
24Processor points12
16Net points16
40Algae points28
124Total teleop94
Reef
13L4#6
7L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
180Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.8
62.464.1
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
red by 26.7
37.61.4
35.336.7
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Second
63.91.8
59.160.9
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
red by 31.9
8048
#29
32.01.4
30.031.4
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
Third
27.11.8
25.527.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
blue by 0.2
3257
#28
27.31.4
22.924.4
Auto2.7
Teleop20.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned