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Red58
527415.6
203520.9
1033915.7
Blue39
777712.7
947034.5
11520.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518901001505839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+15Teleop
+11Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
36Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
8Foul points0
58Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2035
#23
20.90.1
20.720.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
blue by 13.6
9470
#15
34.52.6
36.433.8
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
Second
15.70.1
15.815.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
blue by 4.5
115
#31
20.22.6
22.319.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
5274
#18
15.60.1
14.414.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.5
End-0.5
red by 2.9
7777
#25
12.72.6
15.312.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed