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Red95
85216.0
304542.9
548017.7
Blue83
145821.0
696219.7
97229.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84762040601001201409583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
70Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
95Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.2
41.042.2
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
red by 13.4
972
#16
29.50.9
28.028.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
Second
5480
#24
17.71.2
17.418.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 3.3
1458
#13
21.00.9
19.620.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Third
852
#30
16.01.2
14.816.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.4
End0.3
blue by 3.7
6962
#32
19.70.9
18.018.9
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned