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Red129
25310.7
541940.4
58161.1
Blue106
19215.9
167138.5
247337.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259750150200129106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points47
4Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
24Processor points0
20Net points12
44Algae points12
94Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
129Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#2
61.10.9
58.058.9
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
red by 22.5
1671
#10
38.50.6
37.738.3
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
40.40.9
40.441.3
Auto5.9
Teleop28.2
End6.3
red by 2.8
37.60.6
36.737.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Third
253
#34
10.70.9
9.810.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 5.2
192
#19
15.90.6
15.315.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned