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Red79
397017.0
592410.8
167864.3
Blue125
281340.9
60464.3
741323.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081565020025079125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +32
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
34Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
6Foul points12
79Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.9
64.162.2
Auto15.4
Teleop40.2
End8.6
blue by 0.1
604
#3
64.32.0
64.362.3
Auto14.0
Teleop47.1
End3.2
Second
3970
#33
17.01.9
19.317.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.6
End1.0
blue by 23.9
40.92.0
43.941.9
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
Third
5924
#26
10.81.9
10.68.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 13.0
7413
#20
23.82.0
25.823.8
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned