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Red119
548017.7
541940.4
281340.9
Blue101
97229.5
145821.0
958427.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1198150100150119101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points19
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
84Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
119Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.2
41.942.1
Auto6.9
Teleop25.1
End8.9
red by 11.5
972
#16
29.50.6
28.929.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
Second
40.40.2
41.341.6
Auto5.9
Teleop28.2
End6.3
red by 13.3
27.10.6
26.627.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
Third
5480
#24
17.70.2
18.618.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End1.0
blue by 3.3
1458
#13
21.00.6
20.521.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0